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Encore’s Strategy Playbook: Durable Demand in Everyday Infrastructure

Investing is ultimately an exercise in understanding behavior at scale and allocating capital where demand is least vulnerable to disruption. We begin with a simple premise: durable returns tend to come from cash flows embedded in routines.

These routines show up in how people show for essentials, how they move through daily life, and where commerce happens repeatedly, regardless of headlines. In a market where narratives have swung from recession to resilience and back again, we prefer to underwrite what can be observed: steady visitation, repeat transactions, and constrained supply in formats that sit in the path of everyday activity.

This playbook outlines how we translate that philosophy into investable strategies across four platforms: travel service centers, gas stations and convenience retail, grocery-anchored and open-air retail centers, and the drive-thru coffee format.

Alongside these strategies, we are scaling up in private credit, with revenue-based funding and a new multifamily escrow platform, while maintaining our core commercial real estate portfolio and supporting our medical operating businesses, with additional playbooks to follow.

The expression changes by platform, but the lens stays consistent: cash-flow visibility, execution discipline, and capital stewardship.

Encore Investment Framework

This framework is built around durable demand and underwriting realism rather than narrative appeal. Encore deploys capital from a position of operating maturity, with a strategy designed to generate meaningful growth without relying on aggressive expansion or accepting modest, yield-driven outcomes.

We focus on assets and operating platforms where value creation is driven by repeatable economic activity and disciplined execution. Growth is derived from operating performance, capital efficiency, and pricing discipline, not from long-duration capital defensiveness or speculative scale.

Accordingly, we are intentionally positioned closer to the core end of the risk spectrum than in prior opportunistic periods. We are not pursuing hyper-growth strategies that depend on aggressive leverage, rapid expansion, or perfect macro conditions. At the same time, we are not allocating capital to low-volatility assets designed primarily to preserve value over decades.

Cash-on-cash performance is a gating requirement, and capital is allocated where current income and forward growth are both supported by the underlying business. Our objective is to generate durable, risk-adjusted growth that compounds through execution. Three principles govern the approach:

  • Operational reality over conventional optics. Our strategy is not to chase AAA real estate for its own sake. We respect the durability of prime locations, but we underwrite the return profile, not the headline. Even “Main and Main” can produce thin yields if the business underneath underperforms. We prioritize lease structure and operator execution, and we focus on formats where value creation is driven by measurable performance, not assumptions.
  • Supply discipline as a return driver. In retail, our bias is toward formats where new supply is structurally constrained and value creation is driven by leasing execution, not redevelopment risk. This is reinforced by observed rent resets in supply-constrained markets.
  • Return-driver diversification, not asset labels. We construct the strategy to balance yield, rent growth, and operating upside without depending on a single macro outcome, a single operator, or a single exit window.

Strategy Implementation by Asset Type

Our investment framework is expressed through a set of four strategies designed to capture durable demand in different ways. Each platform serves a distinct role, balancing current income, growth potential, tax efficiency, and liquidity, while remaining anchored to the same underwriting discipline.

Travel service centers and truck stops reflect an emphasis on cash flow visibility and scale-driven economics. Operating at the intersection of real estate and enterprise operations, performance is shaped less by traditional location metrics and more by operator execution, throughput, and long-term lease structure.

These assets routinely serve hundreds of trucks per day—often 300 to 500 or more—under national fleet fueling agreements that generate materially higher diesel margins, frequently approaching $0.50 per gallon. Revenue is diversified across fuel, food, retail, and driver services, while federal driving-hour regulations and contract-based fueling relationships create predictable stopping behavior.

Underwriting Snapshot

  • Long-duration master triple-net leases (≈20-year initial terms)
  • Underwritten to trailing diesel volumes and operator execution
  • Fleet contracts and regulated stopping behavior support demand
  • Operator quality prioritized over real estate optics

We participate through master lease structures that shift operating responsibility to experienced and best-in-class operators and tenants and guarantee rent regardless of sub-tenant performance, reinforcing income durability. Individual assets commonly trade in the $35–$40 million range and are positioned for exit through portfolio-level transactions rather than individual asset sales. The result is a yield-oriented platform designed to produce stable income with limited capital volatility, supported by typical hold periods of three to five years and targeted dispositions while approximately 15 years of lease term remain to preserve downstream buyer demand.

Gas stations and convenience stores apply similar principles in a more distributed form. Profitability is driven by repetition and convenience, with inside-the-store sales accounting for the majority of economic value rather than fuel margins, which are often thin on a per-gallon basis. In a market that is highly fragmented, many stores are still owned by small operators, creating opportunities to buy well-located assets that never reach institutional deal flow. We focus on existing locations with demonstrated operating history, typically secured under true triple net leases with 20 year initial terms, where tenants are responsible for taxes, insurance, maintenance, and capital expenditures.

Underwriting Snapshot

  • Existing locations only with verifiable sales history
  • Profit driven by inside-the-store sales, not fuel margins
  • Preference for infill sites with barriers to new competition
  • Typical 3–5 year hold, exiting with meaningful lease term remaining

These structures shift operational and capital risk away from ownership while creating high visibility into cash flow. Assets are frequently located in infill or overlooked neighborhoods where competition is constrained by physical or zoning limitations and where the store functions as a de facto grocery and retail outlet for the surrounding community. Value creation is pragmatic rather than transformational. It comes from a sourcing and execution edge: local partners who uncover motivated sellers, paired with proven regional operators who can standardize performance. We then drive outcomes through operator alignment, modest refinements, lease stabilization, and disciplined leverage, generally targeting approximately 65% loan-to-value on larger assets to support double-digit cash-on-cash returns. Exits are typically oriented toward individual asset sales, where remaining lease term, predictable income, and tax efficiency support durable buyer demand.

Grocery-anchored and open-air retail centers serve as the portfolio’s stabilizing force. These assets benefit from necessity-based demand and consistent visitation, supported by a structural supply environment that has favored landlords as new retail construction has remained historically constrained. This approach emphasizes well-located centers anchored by grocery stores or other essential tenants with strong renewal probability, where leasing execution and rent growth—rather than redevelopment risk—drive returns over time.

Underwriting prioritizes immediate cash yield and tenant durability, with recent acquisitions and renewals achieving material rent increases as legacy leases roll, in some cases moving rents from the high teens into the low 30s per square foot or higher.

Underwriting Snapshot

  • Strong necessity-based anchors driving consistent traffic
  • Immediate cash yield required; marquee brands alone are insufficient
  • Value creation via leasing execution and rent resets
  • Focus on markets with limited new retail supply

Capital discipline remains central; we have passed on large, high-quality grocery-anchored portfolios when projected returns fell below target thresholds, typically around 10% cash-on-cash, even when anchored by premier national brands. This approach ensures that brand quality enhances returns rather than substitutes for them. Grocery-anchored assets provide flexibility and optionality, allowing properties to be held for stable income, selectively recapitalized, or monetized as leasing objectives are achieved and liquidity presents itself.

The 7 Brew drive-thru coffee platform represents a more growth-oriented extension of the same framework, combining operating execution with disciplined real estate selection. The model is intentionally simple at the unit level—each stand operates from an approximately 500-square-foot prefabricated building with no food preparation, minimal equipment, and a double drive-thru format engineered for speed and throughput. National average unit volumes of roughly $2.4–$2.5 million materially exceed traditional fast-casual benchmarks and reflect a business built around habitual purchasing rather than discretionary dining.

Underwriting Snapshot

  • Minimum traffic and trade-area transaction density thresholds
  • High-retail-density corridors; weekend traffic matters
  • Clustered site strategy to reinforce convenience and repeat visits
  • Permitting and development timelines explicitly underwritten

Success in this strategy depends on precision: high-traffic trade areas, strong retail adjacency, and efficient permitting and development timelines. We underwrite 7 Brew as a habit-based business, deliberately clustering locations within a two-mile radius to reinforce repeat behavior and capture demand embedded in daily commuter patterns.

Site selection emphasizes retail performance over rooftops alone, with target criteria including daily traffic counts of approximately 20,000 vehicles or more—often exceeding 50,000 at high-performing locations—household incomes at or above market averages, and placement within trade areas generating at least five million annual transactions and approximately $150 million in retail sales within roughly two miles. Co-tenancy with overperforming grocery stores, Costco or Walmart, and high-volume QSRs serves as a proxy for traffic quality.

While operationally more involved than our lease-driven strategies, the underlying thesis remains consistent: durable consumer behavior, limited supply of high-quality sites, repeatable unit-level economics, and a defined path to scale. New stores are underwritten with a two- to three-year ramp to stabilization, with the long-term objective of assembling a 25–30 unit portfolio capable of producing exit outcomes comparable to much larger legacy restaurant portfolios, transacting at double-digit EBITDA multiples.

These platforms reflect our belief that durability is not confined to a single format. By applying a consistent lens across varied expressions of real assets and operating businesses, we are able to diversify return drivers while maintaining a cohesive approach to risk, execution, and long-term capital stewardship.

Market & Macro Backdrop: Conditions That Reward Selectivity

Entering 2026, the environment is shifting from pure constraint to selective opportunity. The Federal Reserve’s December 2025 implementation note set the federal funds target range at 3.50%–3.75%, reflecting a move toward easier policy after the higher-rate period of 2024–2025.[i] For real assets, the significance is not “rates will save the day,” but that price discovery and deal velocity can improve when financing becomes incrementally more workable.

At the same time, the consumer has remained more stable than sentiment would suggest. The U.S. Census Bureau’s advance report put October 2025 retail and food services sales at $732.6B, up 3.5% year-over-year, suggesting continued baseline demand even with mixed headlines.[ii]

For retail real estate specifically, the setup remains defined by tight fundamentals and limited new supply. Costar reported a 4.3% national retail vacancy rate at year’s end, underscoring stability even amid closures and bankruptcies and highlighting under-construction volume that has fallen to its lowest level since 2021.[iii] These conditions tend to favor owners who can execute leasing and push rents in well-located centers—exactly where Encore concentrates.

Liquidity is also improving. Altus Group reported $150.6B of U.S. CRE transaction value in Q3 2025, up 23.7% quarter-over-quarter and 25.1% year-over-year—an important signal that the market is moving again, though not uniformly.[iv] In practice, that means the gap between “financeable, underwriteable cash flow” and “speculative story” is widening, rewarding disciplined strategies with visible income and clear execution plans.

A final tailwind is tax policy. Multiple third-party summaries of the 2025 tax law, commonly referred to as the “One Big Beautiful Bill Act,” note that 100% bonus depreciation was restored and made permanent for qualifying property, such as gas stations, placed in service after January 19, 2025.[v] For operator-heavy real assets, this can meaningfully affect after-tax cash flow—but Encore treats it as a secondary enhancer, not the core thesis.

Encore’s Moves Over the Past 12 Months

Across these verticals, we have used the past year to sharpen the link between strategy and behavior:

Travel nodes. In December 2025, we acquired four truck stops as a single portfolio, with an aggregate value of ​approximately $130 million dollars. The decision was to gain meaningful enterprise exposure through a master-tenant model, instead of slowly accumulating dozens of smaller convenience store assets. In parallel, we acquired five convenience stores in the back half of 2025, with an aggregate value of approximately eleven million dollars. These locations were chosen for trailing performance, operator quality, clear value-add paths, and, in many cases, operator guarantees that further secure rent streams.

Essential retail. In May 2025, we acquired grocery-anchored retail centers in Chicago and Rhode Island, growing the entire commercial portfolio to 26 properties totaling approximately 1.41 million square feet. Across the portfolio, several key assets moved from construction-heavy phases into strong leasing environments, with tenants outperforming sales expectations on the back of heavy foot traffic. Against this backdrop, we passed on the previously mentioned $160 million national grocery portfolio, despite its premier anchors, reinforcing that return thresholds, typically around 10% cash-on-cash, remain firm.

7 Brew. On the development side, we treated 2025 as a year to prove the operating model and refine the pipeline. Four stands came online in Utah, with eight more scheduled for 2026, working toward a development agreement target of 28 total stands by the end of 2027. The team used real timeline experience to justify the decision to bring entitlement and permitting capabilities closer to the core of the platform and to divest our Arizona development rights.

Taken together, these moves illustrate the broader pattern. Capital goes where behavior is durable, where supply is naturally constrained, and where we have the operational insight to underwrite both the current income and the exit.

A Cohesive Playbook Across Different Formats

On the surface, a grocery-anchored neighborhood center, a highway truck stop, an infill gas station, and a 500-square-foot drive-thru coffee stand may look like very different investments. Encore’s playbook ties them together through a common lens.

  • Simplicity.  Favor straightforward theses and clean operating structures, such as private credit and triple-net leases, where performance does not depend on operational complexity.
  • Behavior first. Start with how people use the asset: how often they show up, for what mission, and what real substitutes exist.
  • Operator and structure. Underwrite trailing performance and operator quality ahead of appearances. Use long-term, aligned leases that clearly allocate operating and capital risk.
  • Supply discipline. Favor formats where new competition is hard to deliver because of zoning, entitlement friction, cost, or physical constraints.
  • Exit optionality. Consider the likely exit at entry, but underwrite every asset to work through cash flow and reinvestment alone, whether held, recapitalized, or sold.

Drive-to retail and travel nodes fit that framework because they monetize behaviors that are hard to digitize away and hard to relocate. People will keep buying food, fueling vehicles, grabbing coffee on the way to work, and stopping along freight routes. The question for investors is how to participate in that reality with structures that preserve capital and compound returns. Our answer is to keep the strategy grounded where human behavior is least likely to change and to let consistent execution do the work.


[i] Federal Reserve. Implementation Note. Issued December 10, 2025. https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20251210a1.htm.

[ii] U.S. Census Bureau, Economic Indicators Division, Retail Indicator Branch. Advance Monthly Sales for Retail and Food Services, October 2025. Published December 16, 2025. https://www2.census.gov/retail/releases/historical/marts/adv2510.pdf.

[iii] CoStar. United States Retail National Report. Published January 9, 2026

[iv] Bassett, J. Altus Group Releases Q3 2025 U.S. Investment & Transactions Quarterly Report. Altus Group. https://www.altusgroup.com/press-releases/altus-group-releases-q3-2025-us-investment-transactions-quarterly-report/.

[v] Grant Thornton. OBBBA Offers New Ways to Accelerate Depreciation. Published August 4, 2025. https://www.grantthornton.com/insights/alerts/tax/2025/insights/obbba-offers-new-ways-to-accelerate-depreciation.

What Rate Cuts Won’t Fix in Hospitality

What Rate Cuts Won’t Fix in Hospitality

Dr. Bharat SanganiFor the past several years, operating hotels has required resilience, discipline, and an unusual level of patience. Owners have navigated shutdowns, labor shortages, inflation, supply-chain disruption, rising insurance costs and higher interest rates – often simultaneously. But as welcome as further rate cuts may be, it is important to separate relief from resolution. Lower borrowing costs will not fix the structural pressures now shaping the hospitality sector.

Those advising on lending, restructuring, transactions, and real estate law need to understand what is, and is not, solved by monetary policy. The gap between the industry’s underlying performance and the assumptions used in many capital structures has widened, and the implications reach far beyond hotel operators.

Demand Flatlines Independent of Interest Rates

Rate cuts can lower debt service. They cannot generate guests. After a brief post-pandemic rebound in leisure travel, national demand has plateaued. Business travel has not returned to pre-2020 patterns, government travel remains smaller, and international visitation has softened.

RevPAR contracted year-over-year this summer, signaling the clearest break from the “recovery narrative.” CoStar/STR responded by cutting its 2025 outlook twice – lowering projections for demand, average daily rate, and RevPAR growth. Meanwhile, international arrivals declined by more than 3% year-over-year in July, with forecasts now projecting roughly 8% fewer overseas visitors in 2025 than originally expected.

For practitioners structuring financing, litigating valuation disputes, or advising owners on hold vs. sell decisions, the takeaway is simple: the demand story is flat, and cheaper debt does not change that.

Expense Floors Are Now Structural, Not Cyclical

The industry’s cost structure has been fundamentally reset. Unlike rates, these inputs do not trend back down.

Labor: Line-level wages that were once $8-$15 an hour now clear $18, and some jurisdictions are adopting or exploring $25/hour minimums in hospitality.

Insurance: Premiums are up 15-20% depending on region and tier – levels that industry analysts now classify as “structural resets.”

Property taxes: Municipal reassessments and budget gaps are pushing valuations higher.

Debt: Even with recent rate easing, many 2023-2025 maturities cannot clear DSCR without new equity or restructured terms.

Capex: Brand-mandated property improvement plans, many deferred during the pandemic, are now due – at far higher construction and labor costs.

These factors place sustained pressure on margins. Rate cuts reduce the cost of capital, but they do not reduce the cost of operations, making it risky for lenders or buyers to rely on pro formas builds on 2018-2019 cost assumptions.

Why Bid-Ask Spreads Are Widening, Not Narrowing

If the Federal Reserve were the missing ingredient for robust transactional activity, the public markets would tell a different story. Instead, lodging REITs are trading at long-running discounts to NAV. Some face activist pressure to liquidate, while others are pursuing full portfolio sales.

Yet in the private markets, many owners remain anchored by pre-COVID valuation levels. Buyers underwriting on today’s NOI and expense floors cannot support those numbers. The result is widening bid-ask spread and muted deal flow.

Lower borrowing costs may help buyers incrementally, but rate cuts alone will not bridge valuation gaps created by weaker fundamentals and rising expenses.

For lawyers and advisers, this reality is contributing to more complex negotiations, increased emphasis on capital stack realism, and greater demand for structured or phased exits.

Why Even Strong Operators Cannot ‘Wait Out’ This Cycle

Experienced owners can carry assets through volatility – but not indefinitely, and not without recalibrating expectations.

The cycle confronting hotels today is painfully familiar: lower cash flow leads to higher cap rates, which in turn depress values. As values fall, credit tightens, lenders require more cash to stay in deals, and owners are left with even less capacity to reinvest in the very demand drivers their properties need.

Time alone does not unwind that loop. Capital does. And capital deployed into a legacy cost structure or outdated performance assumptions risks being stranded.

For restructuring counsel, this means emphasizing realistic valuation benchmarks, educating clients on the limits of extend-and-pretend strategies, and proactively exploring consensual alternatives such as JV recapitalizations or structured exits.

Practical Implications for Legal and Financial Practitioners 

Lenders: Portfolio reviews should incorporate revised expense floors and flat demand assumptions. Traditional DSCR thresholds may need recalibration, and earlier engagement with borrowers can preserve asset value and reduce litigation risk.

Borrowers: Owners must prepare for scenarios where additional capital is unavoidable. Those with strong balance sheets can use this moment to reposition; those without may need guidance on orderly sales or restructuring.

Transaction attorneys and real estate practitioners: Underwriting should begin with 2025 realities, not pre-pandemic nostalgia. Deal structures may increasingly involved seller financing, preferred equity, or earn-outs tied to performance rather than price.

Restructuring counsel: Expect a rise in negotiated transitions, note sales, and consensual handovers. Foreclosure remains a tool, but it is rarely the most efficient route in hospitality given brand, capex, and operational complexity.

Stewardship Over Sentiment

After more than two decades of operating mid-market hotels through multiple cycles, including the financial crisis and the pandemic, I remain confident about long-term prospects of the sector. Fresh capital deployed at appropriate basis levels will likely perform well in 2026 and 2027.

But optimism must be matched with realism. Rate cuts relieve pressure, they do not rewrite economics. For owners, advisers, lenders, and legal practitioners, understanding the difference between cyclical relief and structural reset is the key to navigating this moment.

The industry does not need miracles. It needs clarity, disciplined decision-making, and a willingness to accept the world as it is and not as we hope it to be.

Reprinted with permission from the Dec. 10 issue of Daily Business Review. Further duplication without permission is prohibited. All rights reserved.

No Miracles, No Medals: Hospitality Beyond Endurance

No Miracles, No Medals: Hospitality Beyond Endurance

Dr. Bharat SanganiFor the last five years, owning hotels has felt like an endurance sport. Every disruption, from pandemic shutdowns to labor shortages, inflation, and rising rates, was another punishing mile marker.

As the steward of a broad mid-market hospitality portfolio in historically strong markets, I adjusted pace, absorbed the hits, and kept running. But endurance alone is not a strategy, and there are no miracles or medals coming for hospitality.

The hard lesson is that a strong balance sheet can carry an otherwise healthy portfolio through volatility, but it cannot rewrite economics. At this juncture in the cycle, one more rate cut will not fix hotels. Rates help, but they don’t fix inbound travel, government demand, wage floors, insurance markets, property taxes, or brand-mandated renovations. Nor do they collapse the bid–ask gap on their own. Now is the time to be honest about what it takes for hotels to actually do well today, and why the math has changed.

Shiny Markets Mask Softer Fundamentals

Open the business pages and the market looks unstoppable. AI-driven tech keeps pushing indexes to new highs while headlines celebrate trillion-dollar milestones.1 That glow hides a colder reality for the parts of the economy that fill hotel rooms. It is a great stock market for a handful of sectors, but not a great economy for most travelers.

For the last few years, I was optimistic that hospitality performance would normalize after the black swan event that upended the rules of travel. Holding our assets felt like the prudent choice for our investors and for ourselves. We were able to do that because Encore entered this period with a strong balance sheet and the discipline to carry assets through volatility.

But now in 2025, the prospects look different. Across the public markets, lodging REITs are in freefall. Sunstone is facing activist pressure to sell or liquidate, and Braemar has announced plans to sell off its entire portfolio. Trading at persistent discounts to net asset value, many REITs are now pursuing fire-sales to unlock value for shareholders.2,3

The Demand Story: Flatter Than Flat

The post-pandemic hospitality rebound never fully materialized. While leisure travel spiked in pockets, business travel remained structurally weaker than many expected, and troubling signs have edged toward permanence.

Industry surveys now point to weaker expectations for 2025. By July, revenue per available room (RevPAR), the industry’s core measure of profitability, had slipped –1.1% year-over-year nationwide.4 This is the clearest signal yet that top-line momentum has flattened. Forecasts followed suit: CoStar/STR cut their 2025 outlook twice this summer, most recently lowering demand, average daily rate, and RevPAR growth assumptions, the latter by over a full percentage point.5

In addition, international arrivals fell by 3.1% in July year-over-year, with Tourism Economics now projecting ~8% fewer overseas visitors in 2025 than initially expected. Fewer international guests, empty business centers, and a reduced government travel footprint hit exactly where mid-market hotels make their living.6

The Cost Reality: Margins Don’t Heal Themselves

Before COVID, line-level roles were $8–$15 an hour. Today it is closer to $18, and in some jurisdictions more. San Diego just locked in a $25/hour hospitality wage floor, and others are watching closely.7 I’m not complaining about wages; I’m acknowledging math. The quality and availability of labor remain stretched, and we must pay up to secure consistency.

Meanwhile, insurance has stepped up and stayed elevated. CBRE pegged increases at +15% through late-2024, with midscale/economy closer to +20%. These are structural resets, not temporary spikes.8 Property taxes add insult to injury and then there’s debt. Even with some recent rate relief, many loans that matured between 2023 and 2025 did not clear lender DSCR tests without additional equity or creative structures.9

Owners also face the bill for deferred capex. During the pandemic many properties received extensions on their franchise-mandated property improvement plans (PIPs). Those multi-million-dollar obligations are back, and they are more expensive to execute because labor and materials cost more now. And while new construction is modest at the national level, brand conversions now comprise ~31% of the pipeline, and they show up locally, across the street, just when you try to recapture rate.10

The Vicious Cycle Owners Feel Every Day

Put these pieces together and the loop is familiar. Lower cash flow → higher cap rates → lower values → tighter credit → more cash trapped to protect lenders → less flexibility to invest into demand. That’s the loop.

It doesn’t mean the industry is broken; it means time and capital discipline matter more than ever. If you are a fresh buyer at a true 2025 basis you can make that math work. If you are a long-time owner with a legacy capital stack and a looming PIP, the path is narrower, and every month you wait without true evidence of improvement is a month that consumes optionality.

Why Sell a Good Portfolio in a Tough Market?

Hospitality owners don’t wake up one morning and decide to sell good assets for sport. We make that decision only when the market and the opportunity cost align in a way that places stewardship above sentiment.

For Encore, our mid-market business-travel hospitality portfolio has been the foundation of 25 years of investing success. Taking this portfolio to market is no small decision; it comes only after exhaustive deliberation. My responsibility is to weigh the value the market offers us today against the value we could create by holding for another three to four years while carrying additional obligations. And if the market response falls short, Encore will continue to operate the assets with discipline, backed by its strong balance sheet, until the right window opens.

The question at the heart of this decision is simple: Will the dollars we put in today come back to us? If the answer is no, then holding on serves no one, and it is better to exit deliberately. If today’s bids meet or exceed the risk-adjusted outcome of continuing the journey, then the responsible path is to let the market decide and redeploy capital into better-positioned opportunities. In that case, selling is not capitulation—it is stewardship.

Abandoning Endurance to Endure

Would I buy hotels again? Yes, but only at a true 2025 basis that bakes in flat demand and higher expense floors. I still believe fresh capital will do well in 2026 and 2027. But to be in position for that upside, the smart move may be to conserve resources instead of running them into the ground.

My father’s advice has always been simple: there are no miracles, and we should not hope for them. We prepare, we do the work, and we make our own luck. The owners and investors who recognize the world as it is, not as they wish it to be, will be the ones with enough capital and stamina to truly endure.

References

1) MarketWatch. “Alphabet’s Stock Just Had Its Best Quarter in Two Decades Thanks to AI.” MarketWatch, 30 Sept. 2025, https://www.marketwatch.com/story/alphabets-stock-just-had-its-best-quarter-in-two-decades-thanks-to-ai-8a8f1273.

2) “Tarsadia Capital Sends Letter to Board of Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc.” GlobeNewswire, 12 Sept. 2025, https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2025/09/12/3149221/0/en/Tarsadia-Capital-Sends-Letter-to-Board-of-Sunstone-Hotel-Investors-Inc.html.

3) “Braemar Hotels & Resorts Announces Initiation of Sale Process.” Braemar Hotels & Resorts, 26 Aug. 2025, https://www.bhrreit.com/files/5654/BHR_Announces_Initiation_Of_Sale_Process_Release.pdf.

4) “U.S. Hotel Performance for July 2025.” STR, 28 Aug. 2025, https://str.com/press-release/us-hotel-performance-july-2025.

5) CoStar, Tourism Economics Lower U.S. Hotel Growth Forecast.” STR, 7 Aug. 2025, https://str.com/press-release/costar-tourism-economics-lower-us-hotel-growth-forecast.

6) “International Travel for July 2025.” National Travel and Tourism Office via U.S. Travel Association, 2025, https://www.inboundtravel.org/news/ntto-international-travel-for-july. Also: “U.S. International Inbound Travel Remains Weak in 2025.” Tourism Economics, 2025, https://www.tourismeconomics.com/press/latest-research/us-international-inbound-travel-remains-weak-in-2025/.

7) City of San Diego. “Hospitality Minimum Wage Ordinance, Staff Report.” 17 June 2025, https://www.sandiego.gov/sites/default/files/2025-06/staff_report-hospitality-minimum-wage-ordinance.pdf.

8) CBRE. “2025 Global Hotel Outlook.” CBRE, 2025, https://www.cbre.com/insights/reports/2025-global-hotel-outlook.

9) Trepp. “CMBS Delinquency Rate Climbs Again in July 2025.” TreppTalk, July 2025, https://www.trepp.com/trepptalk/cmbs-delinquency-rate-climbs-again-in-july-2025-multifamily-drives-uptick.

10) Lodging Econometrics. “U.S. Hotel Construction Pipeline Stands at 6,280 Projects at the End of Q2 2025.” Lodging Econometrics, 2025, https://lodgingeconometrics.com/u-s-hotel-construction-pipeline-stands-at-6280-projects-at-the-end-of-q2-2025-early-planning-shows-strong-growth/.

Navigating Real Estate When Proformas Meet Reality

In 2024, approximately $929 billion in commercial real estate debt came due in the most challenging financing environment in a decade. Interest costs climbed, insurance premiums surged, and exit strategies shifted dramatically. Sponsors who could pivot swiftly preserved value and those who couldn’t struggled.

Markets can turn quickly, and when they do, proformas are usually the first casualty. Predicting future performance with spreadsheets is standard in commercial real estate and an essential part of analyzing prospective deals. Informed by intense market research, it also provides critical guardrails for asset management post close. However, when extenuating circumstances hit and market dynamics no longer match the model’s underlying assumptions sponsors need to be savvy enough to know what levers to pull next. For high-net-worth investors and wealth management professionals, recognizing a sponsor’s skill in navigating market volatility is more crucial than ever.

“For over 10 years, it was typical to assume a 4% to 6% annual increase in insurance costs. Those stable and predictable assumptions went out the window post-COVID,” explained Charlie Keels, President of Encore Multifamily. He explains, “Underwriting isn’t static. Successful multifamily investment requires constant recalibration. It’s not about being exactly right from the start; it’s about being highly adaptable and experienced enough to know when to be patient and when to get creative.”

Keels faced precisely this situation with their Encore Montrose project, a multifamily development in Houston’s urban core constructed before COVID-19 reshaped tenant preferences and market demand. Originally positioned for young professionals desiring urban live-work-play environments, Encore Montrose faced slower rent growth than anticipated due to work-from-anywhere permission shifting demand toward suburban areas.

With Encore’s strong balance sheet, the project was able to hold steady until Keels eyed an opportunity with an affordable housing tax structure. The underwriting penciled out and the decision reduced property tax liabilities, which increased net operating income significantly. Keels emphasized, “It’s about persistence, flexibility, and knowing when and how to pivot to drive investor value.”

Some of the most difficult levers in real estate are found in the fixed costs, particularly insurance and property taxes. In one Dallas–Fort Worth multifamily project, Keels and his team focused on insurance, a line item often seen as immovable, and cut costs by nearly 50 percent. By aggregating coverage across multiple assets and leveraging a blanket policy through a partner like Greystar, the team spread risk and secured better pricing without compromising protection. It’s a clear reminder that returns aren’t solely driven by revenue and that great execution lives in the line items.

This underscores a critical truth about underwriting. It’s far more strategic than transactional and sometimes less is more. Seasoned professionals like Drew Rohmer, senior underwriter at Encore Enterprises, know that the goal isn’t to model every detail but instead to zero in on what truly has the power to move the needle. As he puts it, “When a model tries to answer every question, it usually means the underwriter hasn’t figured out the right question yet.” In fact, overly complex models can be a red flag, often signaling that a sponsor lacks confidence in their instincts and is trying to back into a result with false precision.

Instead, experienced underwriters focus on thresholds: the minimum rent required to clear debt service, the cap rate sensitivity that breaks the return, the construction cost ceiling before a deal stops penciling, etc. Experienced professionals streamline their models not because they know less, but because they know exactly what matters and what doesn’t.

All of this takes time and a fair amount of mental gymnastics which many have been supplementing with artificial intelligence. Rohmer warns that while AI may be useful for speeding up surface-level research, at its core, it’s still a language learning model and not a numbers engine. That distinction is critical in underwriting, where precision matters. Rohmer found that AI can have an inherent bias to tell you what sounds right rather than what is right. In a discipline where even minor miscalculations can derail a deal or an overly rosy market analysis can mislead investors, that kind of false confidence isn’t just risky, it’s dangerous.

Yet, despite AI’s growing influence, underwriting remains intensely human. Rohmer explains, “AI can save time in researching markets and gathering comparables, but it can’t replace market intuition and relationships. Real estate isn’t just numbers; it’s experience, instincts, and decisive action.”

Encore’s strategic response at Encore Montrose further highlights this. Under normal market conditions, Encore reassesses its underwriting two to three times annually to ensure alignment with evolving fundamentals. However, for assets facing distress or material deviations from plan, Encore increases its frequency, sometimes revisiting core assumptions monthly.

As Keels notes, “You can’t overreact, but you can’t ignore realities either. If you change the plan too often, you’ll only make things worse. It takes experience to gauge timing and know when to recalibrate.” For Encore Montrose, it took two years to enact the tax advantage strategy. He adds, “That judgement—plus a strong balance sheet and the ability to effectively leverage financing structures and control costs—is what separates a good outcome from a great one.”

In real estate investing, the market rarely moves as projected. That’s not a flaw; it’s reality. For wealth managers and investors, it means weighing a sponsor’s track record of adaptability under stress as critically as initial IRR projections in decision making. Anyone can make a deal pencil, but that doesn’t make it durable. Trust is built on how an investment performs in the real world, and that has everything to do with the decision makers behind it.

Growing Pains: America and the Burden of Exceptionalism

Growing Pains: America and the Burden of Exceptionalism

Dr. Bharat SanganiAs a businessman and immigrant who chose America as my home and professional foundation, my relationship with American exceptionalism runs especially deep. It is more than a theory to me, it is the foundation upon which I’ve built my career, my family’s future, and the businesses that support our communities. America offered me opportunities unparalleled elsewhere, and that belief continues to fuel my optimism for our nation’s enduring role as a global leader, even as today’s geopolitical realities force us to confront uncomfortable questions about that future.

American exceptionalism is often discussed in the language of economics and geopolitics. But I’ve found a more intuitive way to understand it: the relationship between a parent and a child. One that must mature to remain healthy.

For much of the modern era, the United States has been viewed by the world as the ultimate safe haven—a reliable, stabilizing force in times of uncertainty. Global markets instinctively turned to America for security: investing in Treasury bonds, purchasing American defense equipment, and reinforcing the strength of the dollar. This trust allowed the U.S. to print money with relative freedom, manage its debt without penalty, and sustain prosperity without compromising its global standing.

The Waning Illusion of American Invincibility

Just as children gradually come to understand that their parents are not infallible, the world is beginning to recognize the limitations of American dominance. Ideally, this awareness would emerge gradually, allowing time for adjustment and recalibration. In recent months, however, that shift has felt abrupt, exposing the U.S. to a level of scrutiny it has long avoided. Once that sense of unquestioned credibility is disrupted, it becomes difficult to restore.

Economist Ruchir Sharma and author of The Rise and Fall of Nations and What Went Wrong with Capitalism recently argued that the “overdue rebalancing of global markets has just begun, and is likely to be playing out for a long time.”

Recent developments make this shift unmistakable. America’s national debt is projected to surpass $40 trillion, driven in part by sweeping fiscal policies informally known as “The One, Big, Beautiful Bill.” Credit rating agencies have responded with downgrades. Meanwhile, the dollar’s once-unquestioned role as the world’s reserve currency is eroding. And unsurprisingly, the price of gold is soaring, with intensified interest coming from central banks and individual investors alike. Today’s rising interest rates now reflect global markets’ growing concern over U.S. debt sustainability.

We also see this redefinition taking shape in various corners of policy and trade. President Trump’s erratic approach to tariffs, which Financial Times columnist Robert Armstrong coined the TACO doctrine (Trump Always Chickens Out), captures a growing unpredictability in American policy. And it is likely to embolden other nations to pursue their own trade agreements without Washington’s involvement. The recent “Anywhere But USA” (ABUSA) trading strategies adopted by hedge funds and intrepid investors have brought this trend into sharper focus: the gravitational pull of the U.S. is weakening.

Flying the Nest

However, these are not signs of imminent collapse, as many sensationalist headlines might suggest. But they do mark a turning point. The world is beginning to treat America not as the exception, but as a peer in a more balanced global order. This evolving equilibrium empowers other nations to chart their own economic and diplomatic courses without defaulting to U.S. leadership and stewardship. The transition from exceptionalism to economic normalcy may be subtle, but it is significant.

Take NATO, for example, which has historically relied on U.S. defense spending. As American commitments have become less consistent, many allies have responded by strengthening their own capabilities. Germany, for instance, has made significant increases to its defense budget, fostering greater economic and strategic autonomy within Europe. This shift is not a rejection of the alliance, but a natural progression. The “children” are growing more independent, and the “parent” is no longer required in the same role.

Some interpret this as a signal of American decline. They point to rising debt, downgraded credit, and the softening dollar. These concerns are valid, but they don’t tell the full story. Yes, the markets are demanding higher yields. Yes, faith is being tested. But beneath the surface, America’s economic infrastructure remains strong, its innovative capacity unmatched. The U.S. continues to serve as a cornerstone of global stability—still essential, even if no longer infallible.

If Not America, Then Who?

If America were to meaningfully step back, who would take its place?

Within Europe, Germany is an economic powerhouse but struggles with domestic political fragmentation. Russia, isolated by global sanctions and deep mistrust, lacks the credibility to lead. China has grown rapidly and can handle money better than most, but as a communist government it faces transparency and trust concerns. Japan maintains influence but is still hampered by long-term deflationary cycles and an aging demographic. Australia and New Zealand are respected but lack scale and global centrality.

India emerges as the most promising contender. Its democratic structure, economic dynamism, and demographic advantage make it a rising force, and it is soon to become the world’s third-largest economy. But India’s democratic institutions are a mere 75 years young, its infrastructure still evolving, and its political continuity remains uncertain. Its path to global leadership is promising, but not yet fully formed.

So, for all the shifts underway, America remains uniquely positioned. Temporary disruptions don’t dismantle foundational strength. Innovation, democratic stability, and a deeply rooted entrepreneurial culture continue to define the U.S. economy. The current challenges are real, but they resemble family tensions: uncomfortable, yet navigable.

In the Meantime

The world still seeks steady leadership, and no alternative has yet emerged with the credibility, capacity, and cohesion to take America’s place. Despite moments of retreat and recalibration, the U.S. remains indispensable. Just as a family thrives under wise, steady guidance, global economies still look to America, even if the relationship is maturing.

Could another nation eventually lead? Perhaps. But if the U.S. were to step back dramatically, the global transition to a new leader would take decades, and much can happen in the interim.

As for me, I remain focused on where I know my dollars will work hardest: building American homes, shopping centers, gas stations, and hotels; running medical clinics, dental offices, and coffee shops; and funding the small businesses that form the backbone of Main Street. My confidence in America is not blind, it is earned. And while the illusion of American invincibility may be gone, its exceptionalism remains.

At least for now.

Encore Enterprises Doubles-Down on Dallas: Acquires Class B Commercial Medical Office Building, Reopens Corporate HQ as Owner-Occupied Tenant

DALLAS – (June 9, 2025) – Encore Enterprises, Inc. (Encore) today announced the acquisition of a two-story, Class B medical office building at $114 PSF with 61,356 rentable square feet, located at 16980 N. Dallas Parkway. Situated on 3.144 acres fronting the N. Dallas Tollway north of Westgrove, adjacent to the Quorum/Bent Tree submarket, Encore financed the $7 million property through a bank loan from the Dallas Commercial & Industrial team at Cadence Bank in the inaugural business transaction between the entities. The acquisition grows the Encore Commercial, LLC portfolio to 27 properties under management and marks the sole commercial office asset in the mix.

“Dallas pride runs deep in the heart of Encore Enterprises, where for 26 years we’ve called this thriving metroplex home,” said Bharat Sangani, M.D., chairman and CEO, Encore Enterprises. “With the acquisition 16980 N. Dallas Parkway, we cement our future in one of the strongest performing economies in the nation while also helping reinvigorate Dallas’ tough office market.”

Built in 1985 and renovated between 2015-2017, 16980 N. Dallas Parkway is 58.2% occupied by five strong credit tenants, four of which have been in the building over 10 years, with no lease expirations until 2026. Encore Enterprises will self-manage the property and relocate its corporate headquarters there. The building features high-quality construction with a brick and glass façade and 50 below-grade garage spaces alongside 22 covered surface parking spaces. With easy access to the President George Bush Turnpike, 16980 N. Dallas Parkway is 15 miles from downtown Dallas, 13 miles from Love Field Airport and 20 miles from DFW International Airport. There are over 70 restaurants and 22 lodging options within three miles, and over 80 retail establishments and nine nature trails within six miles. Just over 1 acre of partially paved vacant land along the N. Dallas Parkway frontage road remains green space for future development.

“Despite sector volatility and a challenging lending environment, securing financing for an owner-occupied office building remains achievable for elite buyers like Encore Enterprises who not only have a remarkable performance track record and deep experience managing commercial properties, but also robust financial strength” said Sam Manohar, Cadence Bank SVP, senior relationship manager in Dallas. “After a comprehensive audit of all financials and portfolio assets, it was clear there was a strategic opportunity to finance 16980 N. Dallas Parkway and commence a new partnership with a financially resilient and established company like Encore.”

About Encore Enterprises, Inc. 
Founded in 1999, Encore Enterprises, Inc. (Encore) is a Dallas-based vertically integrated, diversified investment firm. Since inception, Encore has completed over 150 commercial real estate transactions valued at $3.7 billion, with $1.8 billion current AUM across 32 states. Focusing on opportunistic and value-add strategies in non-gateway markets throughout the U.S., Encore develops, acquires and manages mixed-use retail centers, multifamily apartment developments, limited and full-service hotels, commercial office buildings and Veterans’ administration medical office centers. Encore also acquires operating companies in the medical, dental and restaurant industries as part of its sustainable investment model. Encore boasts one of the best 26-year track records in the industry, underscoring the firm’s focus on operational stability, prioritization of capital preservation and strength across market cycles. Encore investment offerings are available through Ignite Investments, a wholly owned subsidiary and the exclusive investor relations platform for Encore Enterprises. To learn more, visit https://encore.bz.

About Cadence Bank
Cadence Bank (NYSE: CADE) is a $50 billion regional financial services company committed to helping people, companies and communities prosper. With more than 350 locations spanning the South and Texas, Cadence offers comprehensive services and products including commercial and business banking, treasury management, specialized lending, asset-based lending, commercial real estate, equipment financing, correspondent banking, SBA lending, foreign exchange, wealth management, investment and trust services, financial planning and retirement plan management, consumer banking, consumer loans, mortgages, home equity lines and loans, and credit cards to meet the needs of individuals, businesses and corporations. Accolades include being recognized as one of the nation’s best employers by Forbes and U.S. News & World Report and a “2025 America’s Best Banks” by Forbes. Cadence maintains corporate offices in Houston and Tupelo, Miss., and has dutifully served customers for nearly 150 years. Learn more at www.cadencebank.com. Cadence Bank, Member FDIC. Equal Housing Lender.

Encore Enterprises Acquires Grocery-Anchored Retail Centers in Chicago And Rhode Island, Growing Commercial Portfolio To 26 Properties, 1.41 Million Square Feet

DALLAS – (May 6, 2025) – Encore Enterprises, Inc. (Encore) today announced the acquisition of two grocery-anchored retail shopping centers – Northpoint Center in Arlington Heights, Ill. and Cowesett Corners in Warwick, R.I. on April 24, 2025. The retail centers were acquired through a new co-general partnership with AmCap Management Holdings LLC (AmCap), a wholly owned subsidiary of AmCap Management LLC.

“The grocery-anchored retail sector continues to demonstrate resilience over prior years, showing strong net absorption and vacancy rates that are in line-to-below historical submarket averages,” said Mike Nelson, president of Encore Commercial. “This co-GP joint venture marks Encore’s fifth portfolio acquisition with AmCap, an elite partner with an impeccable track record and decades of experience within the retail grocery anchored shopping center space.”

Cowesett Corners, Warwick, R.I.
A 152,595 square-foot grocery-anchored retail center in the heart of Rhode Island’s retail trade district with national tenants, Stop & Shop, PetCo, Five Below and Oak Street Health. As Rhode Island’s second-largest city, Warwick is situated 10 miles south of downtown Providence, 50 miles south of Boston and is served by Interstates 95 and 295. Warwick is home to Rhode Island’s largest airport, T.F. Green, and its second-largest hospital, Kent Hospital.

Northpoint Center, Arlington Heights, Ill.
A 276,333 square-foot grocery-anchored retail center at the intersection of W. Rand Rd. and Arlington Heights Rd. in one of Chicago’s largest business communities. With national tenants, Jewel-Osco, Ross, Marshalls, Chase Bank, Five Below and PopShelf, Northpoint Center is situated within a dominant regional retail corridor and is easily accessible to downtown Chicago via I-90 and I-290 and two Metra commuter rail stations. The former Arlington Park racetrack is about 3 miles away and was purchased by the Chicago Bears as a potential home for the team’s new stadium. O’Hare International Airport is about a 15-minute drive.

“The acquisition of Cowesett Corners and Northpoint Center further fortifies our longstanding partnership with Encore, built on a shared foundation of deep sector expertise, leadership experience and steadfast investment discipline,” said AmCap CEO Jake Bisenius. “Of all retail centers in the U.S., only one-third meet AmCap’s stringent investment criteria and of those, we target about 8-12 deals per year. AmCap Management Encore, LLC is a marquee joint venture.”

About Encore Enterprises, Inc.
Founded in 1999, Encore Enterprises, Inc. (Encore) is a vertically integrated, diversified investment firm based in Dallas. Since inception, Encore has completed over 150 commercial real estate transactions valued at $3.7 billion, with $1.8 billion current AUM across 32 states. Focusing on opportunistic and value-add strategies in non-gateway markets throughout the U.S., Encore develops, acquires and manages mixed-use retail centers, multifamily apartment developments, limited and full-service hotels, commercial office buildings and Veterans’ administration medical office centers. Encore also acquires operating companies in the medical, dental and restaurant industries as part of its sustainable investment model. Encore boasts one of the best 25-year track records in the industry, underscoring the firm’s focus on operational stability, prioritization of capital preservation and strength across market cycles. Encore investment offerings are available through Ignite Investments, a wholly owned subsidiary and the exclusive investor relations platform for Encore Enterprises. To learn more, visit https://encore.bz.

About AmCap
AmCap is a vertically integrated private equity real estate firm focused exclusively on grocery-anchored and daily-needs retail centers in high-growth U.S. markets. Backed by a 40+ year track record and over $1 billion in assets under management, AmCap partners with top institutional investors to deliver consistent, risk-adjusted returns through disciplined acquisitions, active asset management, and operational excellence. The firm’s specialized focus on necessity retail provides durable cash flow, downside protection, and performance across market cycles.

Encore 7 Brew opens in Riverton, partners with Mason Wright to raise over $100,000 for the Single Parent Project